Hillary Clinton’s nearly 66 million votes in the 2016 election weren’t enough to defeat Donald Trump. But just over 0.0001% of your could end Trump’s presidency. That’s the reality of what Trump faces if the man is formally impeached through House of Representatives later today, as is expected, prompting a removal trial inside the Senate.
In such a trial, the Constitution simply requires two-thirds considering the Senate, in this case, 67 senators, to vote to convict and remove — then it’s goodbye Trump.
Trump’s fate lies in the hands of 20 GOP senators — the fictitious number necessary join the 45 Democratic senators and two independent senators, who typically side with Democrats, to vote to convict him and end his presidency, assuming they all vote to eliminate Trump.
Yes, this is a huge long shot that 20 Republican senators will vote to send Trump packing, especially given Senate Majority Leader Mitch McConnell’s statement a while back saying there’s “had no opportunity” that Trump will probably be removed. However, as an old trial lawyer, I can tell you with the jurors don’t always do for sure. And there’s still the opportunity that further incriminating evidence is revealed about Trump between now and the start of the trial.
Including the best of US, presidents would be unnerved at the prospect that their political demise is just 67 votes away. And even though Trump has been called a lot of things, “secure” is undoubtedly not one instance. Here is the same Trump who just days ago took to Twitter to despicably mock 16-year-old global climate warming activist Greta Thunberg, likely because she beat him out for the title of their time magazine’s “Person of the Year.”
Contributing to Trump’s stress level are comments such as the one made by former GOP Senator Jeff Flake, who recently declared that there would be “at least 35” Republican senators who would vote to eradicate Trump if ballots have been kept secret. That number could be considered a bit high. Still, Democratic Sen. Chris Murphy started several weeks ago, which he thinks there are at least five GOP senators already more likely to vote with Democrats.
Any doubt that Trump costs of this math through his head over and also over, aiming to work out if he mocked or angered enough Republican senators that would spell his political doom? Naturally, what gives Trump protection is that his GOP base backs him solidly, and all of the Republican senators who vote to eliminate Trump could expect to receive their wrath.
And even though the Trump campaign publicly claims that impeachment will help Trump win in 2020 by firing up his base, Trump’s own Twitter is a glimpse of a President entirely panic mode. On Thursday, Trump unleashed a barrage of 123 tweets in the course of the House Judiciary Committee debate toward the articles of impeachment, many commenting toward the hearings, including one instance where he accused two Democratic constituents of the property of lying.
That established a record regarding the most tweets by Trump in a single day, eclipsing his record of 105 tweets set just days before, on Sunday, where he also aimed along at the impeachment process numbers.
Just, for instance, one in all Trump’s tweets Sunday expressed his approval of a conservative activist who had written, “The Constitutional framers could well be appalled by the way impeachment continues to be wielded for being a political weapon against President Trump.”
From the following Friday, following the House Judiciary Committee voted to approve articles of impeachment, Trump again took to Twitter to formulate how upset he cannot be charged with illegal trespass: “It’s not fair that I’m being Impeached when I’ve not made any effort to improve your chances of finding a job wrong!”
Even President Bill Clinton was concerned at the chance being taken from office evidenced by his apology to the country shortly after being impeached through House in 1998, stating, “Exactly what I want The united states and its citizen to know, exactly what I want the Congress to learn, is that I appear to be profoundly sorry for all I have done wrong in words and deeds.”
Clinton offered those words despite having an approval rating that could reach over 60% when it occurs, which notably peaked at 73 percent just days after the House voted to question him.
Such a contrast to Trump, who per FiveThirtyEight.com, currently provides the lowest approval rating of almost any president these many days into his first term at 42%. Trump now even trails Presidents Jimmy Carter and George H.W. Bush concurrently point inside their respective first terms, and both of them lost re-election.
Trump should be worried. Anything can happen in an effort. All it is going to take is precisely 20 Republican senators to join the Democrats in saying they had an ample amount of his antics, and Trump can have earned himself a destination in historical event — and then in every school textbook — just like the first president in the history of the republic removed from the Senate. Understanding that thought is causing Trump to panic.
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Trump is just 67 votes away from being an ex-President and …. https://amp.cnn.com/cnn/2019/12/15/opinions/trump-votes-impeachment-obeidallah/index.html